Monday, January 23, 2012

WARNING! Ron Paul Will Be Eliminated From Debates!

After a last place finish in South Carolina, where he received 13% of the vote and spent $1.5 million on advertising, Ron Paul openly admitted that he was skipping Florida.

Long ago in the beginning of the campaign, Ron Paul’s team strategized a course to pick up as many delegates as possible. It was the same strategy Barack Obama used to beat Hillary Clinton in 2008. Instead of wasting money in southern primary states, where the voters are older and less likely to listen to a non-intervention foreign policy with winner-takes all delegates, spread the message North and West to caucus states.

It is in Nevada, Colorado, Minnesota, and Maine where they hold many local meetings to decide how to award its delegates instead of holding a statewide election. Caucuses tend to have lower turnouts and favor candidates, like Ron Paul, who are closer to the grassroots in the party.

Although the plan seems smart on one front, on the other hand, it could backfire on Ron Paul’s ability to continue spreading the message of liberty. It is these debates where most hear him speak and I'm afraid his low profile in certain states will begin calls to get him out of the debates.

After received 21% and 23% in Iowa and New Hampshire respectfully, Paul’s performance in South Carolina and recent polls showing him below 10% in Florida could be the enough fuel in the fire for the media and the GOP to refuse Ron Paul’s place on stage.

You can also blame the current exit polls from South Carolina to contribute to the “push Ron Paul out” campaign that's about to start. With viewership still above 5 million, more than half (52 percent) of South Carolina primary voters said the recent debates were one of several important factors in deciding their vote. Of that group, Gingrich took 47 percent to 24 percent for Romney.

The media is already drumming up the idea that Ron Paul is a regional candidate, he is missing Florida, and his numbers are slipping. Don’t be surprised the next move will be for surrogates from the Republican Party inside the media and surrogates from the other three candidates begin asking the question….

“Should Ron Paul even be in the debate?”

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